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South Korean Won Rallies Against USD, Closing at 1,382.20 Amid Japanese Yen Surge Post-Japan Election
The South Korean won gained notable ground against the U.S. dollar in overnight trading, with the USD/KRW exchange rate diving to the low 1,380s, supported by a stronger yen. The Japanese currency showed remarkable resilience despite significant political shifts following Japan's upper house elections, contributing to a decline in the dollar and lifting the South Korean won.
As of 2 a.m. KST on July 22, the USD/KRW exchange rate closed at 1,382.20, reflecting a 10.80-won drop compared to the previous close in Seoul’s foreign exchange market. This decline also marks a 6.00-won dip from the earlier weekly session’s closing rate of 1,388.20. During European trading hours, the dollar-won pair exhibited consistent downward movement, reaching the day’s intraday low of 1,381.20 just before the overnight session concluded.
Japanese Yen Gains Strength After Political Shake-Up
The appreciation of the Japanese yen was closely linked to political developments stemming from Japan's upper house election results on July 20. Despite suffering losses, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its coalition partner Komeito secured only 47 seats, missing their promised 50-seat majority. This setback follows their previous defeat in last October’s lower house elections, leading to a divided parliament in which the opposition now holds sway.
Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba responded to the coalition’s defeat by pledging to remain in office, stating, “What matters most right now is avoiding political stagnation.” His emphasis on stability helped assuage concerns over excessive fiscal spending, which many anticipated from opposition-dominated governance. Instead of weakening as predicted, the Japanese yen strengthened, defying market expectations.
Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Forex, remarked, “There was widespread anticipation that the election outcome would weaken the yen, but those predictions about the dollar-yen exchange rate were proven wrong.” He also highlighted, “With Tokyo markets closed today for Marine Day, further clarity on market reactions will emerge once trading resumes tomorrow.”
Shoki Omori, Chief Strategist at Mizuho Securities, echoed similar sentiments, stating that significant leadership changes within the LDP are unlikely. He added, “Given these political dynamics, the likelihood of substantial fiscal stimulus remains low. Even if an additional budget proposal arises, meaningful discussions won't occur until the autumn parliamentary session.”
Yen Strength Hits Dollar, Driving Down Dollar Index
The USD/JPY exchange rate fell sharply to 147 yen—the lowest level seen since October 16—signaling a robust yen against the greenback. Concurrently, the U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the performance of the dollar compared to six major currencies, dropped below the critical 98 threshold, settling in the mid-to-high 97 range.
At 2:53 a.m. KST, the USD/JPY exchange rate stood at 147.242 yen, while the EUR/USD exchange rate traded at 1.16936. Offshore USD/CNY rates settled at 7.1712 yuan. In parallel, the KRW/JPY cross rate reached 942.74 KRW per 100 JPY, while the CNY/KRW exchange rate stood at 193.85 KRW per 1 CNY.
Surge in Intraday Volatility and Trading Volume
The day’s trading for the USD/KRW exchange rate featured significant fluctuations, with numbers ranging from an intraday high of 1,393.00 to a low of 1,381.20, resulting in a daily range of 11.80 won. The combined trading volume—derived from Seoul Foreign Exchange Brokerage and Korea Money Brokerage—reached approximately $13.768 billion in spot forex transactions.
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