VanEck Forecasts Bitcoin to Reach $180,000 Under Current Bull Market Dynamics

Global asset management powerhouse VanEck has issued a bold prediction for Bitcoin (BTC), projecting its price to soar to an impressive $180,000 before the ongoing bull cycle concludes. In its mid-October report titled “2025 ChainCheck,” disclosed by NewsBTC on October 26, the firm outlined the factors fueling its optimistic outlook for the world's foremost cryptocurrency. These include macroeconomic liquidity growth and substantial capital inflows into the Bitcoin futures market.

This bullish projection underscores Bitcoin's potential as a major player in the evolving financial landscape, driven by external economic conditions that could further catalyze its price surge.

Bitcoin’s Link to Global Liquidity Growth

One of the cornerstone arguments of VanEck’s analysis is the correlation between Bitcoin's price and global M2 money supply growth. Since 2014, the cryptocurrency has shown a consistent coefficient of approximately 0.5 when compared to the expansion of global liquidity attributed to the five leading currencies. During this period, global liquidity has nearly doubled, growing from $50 trillion to $100 trillion. In parallel, Bitcoin’s value skyrocketed by approximately 700-fold.

Currently, Bitcoin’s market capitalization accounts for roughly 2% of the global money supply—a figure VanEck finds surprisingly conservative. The report suggests that failing to allocate even a fraction of this percentage toward Bitcoin is essentially a missed opportunity to capitalize on its unprecedented market potential.

This analysis positions Bitcoin as a critical asset class in the context of global financial dynamics, with its price trajectory intertwined with broader economic indicators like liquidity growth.

Bitcoin Futures Market: Short-Term Volatility and Price Swings

VanEck highlights the Bitcoin futures market as a primary driver of price fluctuations in the short term. Analysis of the market shows that approximately 73% of Bitcoin’s price volatility since October 2020 can be attributed to changes in the open interest on Bitcoin futures contracts.

A dramatic example unfolded recently; between October 6 and October 10, open interest in Bitcoin futures plunged from $52 billion to $39 billion after Bitcoin experienced a sudden 20% price drop within just eight hours. VanEck’s report pointed out that instances of over-leveraged futures positions exceeding 30% of total open interest tend to unwind within roughly 75 days. Such unwinding can amplify market volatility and lead to sharp price movements.

The firm emphasized awareness of this cyclical nature of futures trading, urging stakeholders to remain vigilant about the precarious effects of excessive leverage within this space.

Key Price Levels: Whale Buy Zones and Short-Term Targets

VanEck also provided specific short-term price targets and scenarios that could influence Bitcoin’s performance under favorable macroeconomic conditions. The report floated factors such as decreasing U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures and easing global trade tensions as potential catalysts for renewed capital inflows into Bitcoin.

Under such conditions, the firm projects Bitcoin’s price could range between $130,000 and $132,000 by the first quarter of 2026. Furthermore, VanEck detailed key short-term targets for Bitcoin that span $129,200 to $141,000. They noted that if Bitcoin decisively surges past the $125,000 threshold, it could signal a robust wave of new buying momentum, further propelling its price upward.

In current trading levels, Bitcoin is fluctuating between $108,000 and $125,000, with VanEck identifying the $108,600 as a crucial “Whale Buy Zone.” This zone has drawn significant attention, as maintaining support above the $108,000 mark is seen as fundamental to sustaining Bitcoin’s continued price growth and facilitating stronger upward movement.

The Road Ahead: Bitcoin’s Bullish Forecast

As Bitcoin continues to gain significance in global financial markets, VanEck’s insights offer valuable guidance for investors and market watchers. The projected $180,000 price target signals the potential for transformative growth, driven by factors like increasing global liquidity and capital shifts into Bitcoin futures.

Meanwhile, the firm’s assessment of Bitcoin’s direct correlation with M2 money supply growth emphasizes its role as a hedge against macroeconomic risks and inflationary pressures. As institutional players and individual investors seek opportunities to allocate capital effectively, Bitcoin appears poised to solidify its position as a go-to digital asset with the potential for exceptional returns.

Though the path forward may be marked by volatility, VanEck’s detailed analysis sheds light on Bitcoin’s robust trajectory and key levels to watch. At the heart of this prediction lies the assertion that the cryptocurrency is no longer a fringe asset but a crucial component of the modern financial ecosystem—a potentially game-changing investment for those ready to seize the opportunity.