2025-05-01 14:25

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출처: Block Media
# Evolution of the Narrative Towards $17,000: From DeFi to Digital Bonds
The prediction of Ethereum (ETH) reaching $17,000, as suggested by Ryan Sean Adams, co-founder of Bankless, has reemerged in industry conversations. Adams posits that ETH could reclaim its status as "digital gold with yield," potentially pushing its market cap to $2 trillion. However, his hypothesis transcends simple price forecast—it challenges whether ETH can resolve its "crisis of identity" and develop a compelling narrative to justify its value.
The concept of Ethereum hitting $17,000 was initially proposed earlier this year by an anonymous analyst, Kiu_Coin, who likened ETH’s recent price trends to its trajectory during the 2020 market resurgence. Kiu_Coin characterized recent downtrends as a "shakeout" intended to eliminate weak holders. Historical data corroborates this; Ethereum surged over 1,310% from its 2020 low of under $100 to above $4,800 in 2021, driven primarily by an influential narrative rather than merely technical fundamentals.
## "No DeFi Without Ethereum" – The Narrative Behind the 2021 Rally
In 2021, Ethereum evolved beyond being an altcoin, emerging as the foundation of decentralized finance (DeFi). Major DeFi protocols such as Uniswap, Compound, and MakerDAO operated on the Ethereum network, establishing ETH as the essential fuel and collateral for the ecosystem. The mantra "No DeFi without Ethereum" became a fundamental belief for developers and investors, driving ETH’s valuation far beyond that of a simple token; it became the reserve asset of the decentralized financial world, fueling its extraordinary price rise.
## The Narrative Gap and Confusion Around Staking
Since 2022, Ethereum has lost its clear narrative amidst DeFi and NFT fatigue, the Terra-LUNA crisis, and uncertainty about its direction post-Ethereum 2.0 transition. Despite technological advancements like The Merge and EIP-1559, the market has started viewing ETH as a discounted cash flow (DCF) asset rather than a store of value. Sam Kazemian, founder of Frax Finance, commented, "Ethereum is technically the most advanced cryptocurrency in history, but the ETH asset itself has lost its narrative." He stressed the need for Ethereum to recapture its story.
## "Ethereum Needs the Gospel of Blue Money"
In this climate, Ryan Sean Adams introduced the "Blue-Money Gospel." He asserted, "Money is faith encoded into software. ETH holders need to stake their assets, spread the gospel, and shame the sellers." Just as Bitcoin (BTC) dominates market rankings with its "absolute scarcity" story, Adams believes Ethereum should craft a new narrative as "digital gold with yield."
ARK Invest, led by Cathie Wood, supports this notion. In a January report, ARK compared ETH staking yields to U.S. Treasury rates, describing Ethereum as a "digital bond."
## Staking as "Digital Treasury Bonds": Ethereum Evolves into Global Yield Infrastructure
By 2025, "tokenization" and "staking" are expected to be crucial themes around Ethereum. Traditional assets like U.S. Treasury bonds, corporate debt, and real estate are being tokenized on the blockchain, often using Ethereum or its Layer 2 solutions. Institutions like BlackRock, Citigroup, and JPMorgan are experimenting within the Ethereum ecosystem, shifting it from a decentralized app (dApp) platform to a "global yield asset infrastructure."
Ethereum already offers staking yields of 3–5% annually. Combining this with tokenized real-world assets could allow users to access diverse yield-bearing instruments or treat ETH like a global sovereign bond.
In this context, ETH would transcend being just a native token, functioning as an "access token" to global yield-generating assets. If this narrative takes hold, Ethereum's role could evolve from "DeFi equals Ethereum" to "global yield assets operate on Ethereum."
## The Reality Check: "ETH Is Not Money"
Despite these optimistic views, critics remain. Boyd Cohen, a staunch Bitcoin (BTC) advocate, remarked, "Bitcoin has absolute scarcity, but Ethereum (ETH) does not." John Haar of Swan Bitcoin further argued, "ETH is not money. What exactly is this yield derived from users supposed to be?"
The ETH/BTC valuation ratio also fuels debate. Down 77% from its December 2021 peak, the ratio is often cited as evidence of ETH struggling to maintain its position as a store of value.
## The Market Responds: Signs of Recovery in ETH
Despite the criticism, Ethereum is showing signs of recovery. After falling to $1,400 in early April, ETH rebounded approximately 30% to $1,800, reflecting a 44% decline year-over-year but marking a significant improvement. Analysts suggest this could be an early indicator of a renewed narrative gaining momentum.
Adams and Kazemian’s message is clear: Ethereum is already a technological leader, but technology alone isn’t sufficient. To drive its next growth phase, Ethereum must inspire belief and establish a compelling narrative.
As the cryptocurrency market shifts from its technological era into a "war of narratives," industry observers watch closely. Bitcoin has maintained its dominance as "digital gold," and now the question is whether Ethereum can rise as "digital treasuries," creating a new chapter in its evolution.
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