2024-12-12 10:05

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- Ray Dalio warns of a global debt crisis and recommends gold and Bitcoin as hedges against currency devaluation
- Dalio suggests diversifying portfolios with hard assets and moving away from bond-centric investments
[Unblock Media] Ray Dalio has pointed out the threat of global debt and urged investment in Bitcoin and gold. Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, warned at a financial conference in Abu Dhabi that the increasing global debt poses an unsustainable economic threat.
Dalio emphasized that major economies like the United States and China are experiencing unprecedented levels of leverage, suggesting that this trend could lead to a debt crisis and substantial devaluation of fiat currencies. His forecast is based on his belief that the current accumulated debt levels could trigger a financial crisis.
Dalio also explained five major factors affecting the global economy: credit and monetary relations, political changes within national leaderships, international conflicts, climate conditions, and technological advances. These factors influence various aspects of the economy including cross-border capital flows, corporate credit issues, political instability, the economic impact of climate change, and structural changes due to technological advancements. For instance, during economic recessions, deteriorating credit conditions can lead to reduced corporate investment, ultimately hindering economic growth.
Referring to "Hard Money" as a hedge against economic uncertainty, Dalio recommended converting money into "hard" assets like gold and Bitcoin. In recent years, gold prices have been stable or rising, while Bitcoin has shown high volatility but is now gaining attention as a hedge against inflation. For example, during the 2020 pandemic, gold prices steadily increased, and Bitcoin, after a brief drop, surged significantly, drawing the interest of many investors. These assets are used as hedges against currency devaluation caused by excessive issuance and increased borrowing, Dalio explained.
"I want to avoid debt assets like bonds and hold onto hard moneys like gold and Bitcoin," Dalio stated in his speech. This marks a significant shift from his previous public criticism of Bitcoin's high unpredictability. However, in recent years, Dalio has come to support using Bitcoin as an inflation hedge investment, similar to gold.
Dalio reiterated his view that bonds are a relatively poor investment due to rising debt and worsening interest rates. This warning comes at a time when more questions are being raised about how cryptocurrencies and other assets will function in the global economy.
Peter Schiff holds a negative stance on Bitcoin. Schiff argues that Bitcoin is unstable and unlikely to serve as an alternative to fiat currency, and it is important to understand why he thinks this way. Schiff's stance stems from a distrust of the government and Bitcoin, holding a critical viewpoint from the perspective of protecting fiat currency. He recently urged the Biden administration to sell Bitcoin, claiming that the creation of American Bitcoin reserves could harm the economy.
Through this analysis, it is evident that Dalio's stance is shifting towards supporting hard assets like Bitcoin and gold, highlighting the current high debt levels and the resulting economic uncertainty. This suggests that cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin could play a significant role in the global economy going forward.
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