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Wall Street Soars Amid Strong Earnings and Uplifting Consumer Data, Easing Tariff Worries
New York — U.S. equities rallied as major stock indices closed with substantial gains, driven by stellar Q2 corporate earnings reports and unexpectedly robust consumer spending data. These positive developments helped assuage lingering concerns about tariff-related disruptions.
On July 17 (Eastern Time), the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 229.71 points, or 0.52%, to settle at 44,484.49. The S&P 500 advanced 33.66 points, or 0.54%, closing at 6,297.36, while the tech-centric Nasdaq Composite jumped 153.78 points, or 0.73%, to finish at 20,884.27. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached new record highs, marking a swift recovery just days after their previous peaks.
Retail Sales Spark Optimism
The rally was further fueled by better-than-expected retail sales data and Q2 earnings, signaling resilience in consumer spending. The U.S. Commerce Department revealed that retail sales jumped 0.6% month-over-month in June to reach $721.1 billion, beating analysts' projections for a modest 0.1% increase and recovering from a 0.9% decline in May.
Core retail sales, excluding volatile categories such as automobiles, gasoline, building materials, and food services, rose by 0.5% in June compared to the prior month. Economists interpret this robust data as evidence of sustained consumer confidence amid economic uncertainties.
Brett Kenwell, an investment analyst at eToro US, noted, “The retail sales report came at an ideal time, offering reassurance amid the earnings season. If companies continue to outperform expectations and maintain optimism about consumer spending, we could see even greater stock market momentum despite record highs."
Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics, emphasized, “The message is clear: consumer spending is healthy, reducing the urgent need for additional stimulus through rate cuts.”
Corporate Earnings Drive Market Optimism
Corporate America shined with impressive Q2 earnings results, bolstering investor sentiment. United Airlines posted earnings that exceeded analyst expectations, propelling its stock upward by 3%. PepsiCo also outperformed forecasts, with its shares climbing 7% on the news of stronger-than-expected profits.
FactSet reported that 88% of the roughly 50 S&P 500 companies that released earnings this week surpassed Wall Street projections—a remarkable achievement considering the ongoing tariff disputes stemming from former President Donald Trump’s trade policies.
Streaming giant Netflix also exceeded Q2 expectations, recording a revenue of $11.08 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $7.19, both slightly above market forecasts. However, Netflix’s shares saw a dip of more than 1% in after-hours trading as investors expressed muted enthusiasm over the marginally better results.
Tech Giants Shine Amid AI-Fueled Momentum
All major sectors closed higher, with the exception of healthcare and real estate. Within the trillion-dollar tech sector, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Broadcom achieved record-breaking highs. Nvidia’s market capitalization surged to an astonishing $4.2212 trillion, leading the day's tech rally.
Meanwhile, AI-focused defense company Palantir Technologies continued gaining traction, with its stock rising 2% to reach an all-time high. Shares of electric vehicle manufacturer Lucid Group skyrocketed 36% following news that 20,000 Lucid vehicles would serve as robotaxis on Uber’s platform over a six-year period, underscoring the growing adoption of AI-driven automotive technologies.
Strength in Labor Market and Shifting Rate Expectations
The robust labor market also contributed to the positive sentiment on Wall Street. Initial jobless claims dropped for the fifth consecutive week, reaching a seasonally adjusted 221,000 for the week ending July 12—the lowest level in three months and well below economists’ forecast of 235,000.
The upbeat retail sales data spurred speculation that the Federal Reserve could decelerate its pace of rate reductions. CME’s FedWatch Tool showed a drop in the probability of a 75 basis points rate cut by December, falling to 18.5% from 22.6% just a day earlier. Meanwhile, expectations for a smaller 25 basis points cut climbed to 31.6%, representing a 4-percentage-point increase.
Additionally, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), commonly referred to as Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” fell 0.64 points, or 3.73%, to close at 16.52—a clear indication of diminishing market uncertainty.
Looking Ahead
As corporate earnings continue rolling in and economic data points to sustained consumer strength, investors remain optimistic about the near-term trajectory of the U.S. stock market. With record highs achieved and solid fundamentals in play, Wall Street appears poised for continued growth, even amid global trade challenges and monetary policy adjustments.
This week’s performance underscores the resilience of the U.S. economy and the pivotal role that consumer spending plays in driving market sentiment, setting the stage for what could be a bullish road ahead.