
Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, Opportunity or Crisis for Markets?
@Mark, please take on this task.
Working Title: "2025, Expected Launch of the First Bitcoin and Ethereum Combined ETF"
This article is about the new cryptocurrency ETF, and I believe you're the right person for the job given your expertise in the overall cryptocurrency and altcoin market. I'm counting on you.
Let's begin the in-depth analysis. Based on the given content, we will examine the expected impacts of cryptocurrency-related ETFs in the U.S. in 2025.
First, Bloomberg's senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas predicts that the first ETF tracking Bitcoin and Ether simultaneously will be launched in 2025. This is considered the initial wave of new U.S. cryptocurrency funds to be launched. Balchunas stated on X, "We foresee a wave of cryptocurrency ETFs next year, but it won't all happen at once." This analysis is based on the insights of fellow ETF analyst James Seyffart.
After the first fund tracking Bitcoin and Ether is introduced, ETFs tracking Litecoin or Hedera are expected to follow. Seyffart noted that on December 7th, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rejected multiple Solana ETFs, indicating that SOL and XRP ETFs may only be seriously considered after a new SEC Chair appointed by President-elect Donald Trump takes office.
Currently, the regulatory authorities have a more positive outlook on Litecoin and Hedera. This is why both analysts believe ETFs for these assets may be approved before those for larger market-cap assets like XRP and Solana. Litecoin, as a fork of Bitcoin, is likely to be considered a "commodity," which enhances its chances of approval. Hedera, not classified as a security by the SEC, is also seen as more likely to gain approval for exchange-traded products.
In contrast, XRP and SOL have been classified as securities by the SEC. Ripple has been in a long-standing legal battle with the SEC over the legal status of XRP. Both analysts believe that while the likelihood of approval for Hedera (HBAR) and Litecoin (LTC) is higher, it's still uncertain whether these funds will actually attract investor demand.
Additionally, many cryptocurrency experts anticipate that the SEC under the Trump administration may have a more open stance towards cryptocurrency assets. Recently, Trump expressed his intention to nominate pro-cryptocurrency businessman and former SEC Commissioner Paul Atkins as the next SEC Chair. Legal experts suggest that this could make cryptocurrency policies more favorable, potentially leading to relaxed regulations.
Current SEC Chair Gary Gensler is set to leave the SEC on Trump’s inauguration day, January 20th, while fellow Democratic Commissioner Jamie Lizarrage will resign a few days earlier on January 17th. On December 17th, the reappointment vote for SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw was canceled, potentially allowing for four more Trump-aligned pro-cryptocurrency commissioners.
Thus concludes our analysis based on the outlook for the U.S. cryptocurrency ETF market in 2025.