Predict.fun Acquires Probable, Offers 2x Fee Refunds to Expand in Asia

• Predict.fun acquires Probable as part of its market expansion strategy.
• Doubles USDT trading fee refunds and targets a stronger foothold in the Asian market.

Predict.fun has acquired Probable to accelerate its presence in the prediction market, tapping into new user bases and expertise. Announced on March 4, 2026, this strategic move aims to position the platform as a key contender in the competitive Asian prediction market ecosystem.

To facilitate a seamless transition for Probable users and enhance engagement, Predict.fun has introduced an incentive program. This initiative includes refunding all USDT trading fees paid by Probable users up to March 3, 2026, at twice their original value. Furthermore, Probable Points will be converted to Predict Points at a two-to-one ratio, ensuring Probable’s user community is integrated smoothly into the Predict.fun ecosystem.

Since its launch in December 2025, Predict.fun has garnered robust traction, processing a trading volume of $1.5 billion with over 120,000 users. The addition of the Probable team is expected to amplify this momentum, strengthening the platform’s competitive position in the crowded prediction market, especially in Asia.

However, despite its proactive expansion efforts, Predict.fun continues to face significant competition from established players like Kalshi and Polymarket, whose dominance is underscored by their massive cumulative trading volumes.

As of March 4, 2026, 15:08 UTC, Tether USDt (USDT) is trading at $1, with a 0.034% increase in the past 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap.