2025-03-11 02:41

Block Media

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# Bitcoin Futures Funding Rate Swings Signal Market Uncertainty
The volatility in Bitcoin's futures funding rate, oscillating between positive and negative territory, highlights the difficulty in identifying a potential bottom for the cryptocurrency, according to recent analysis.
# Market Uncertainty as Funding Rate Fluctuates
As reported by CoinDesk on the 10th (local time), Bitcoin's futures funding rate showcasing oscillation between positive and negative values signals uncertainty in the market, prompting traders to seek future direction. The funding rate is a key indicator in perpetual futures contracts, determining regular payments between long and short positions. A positive funding rate means that long positions must pay shorts, whereas a negative rate indicates that shorts pay longs.
# Funding Rate Variability Intensifies Investor Confusion
Over the past two weeks, the funding rate has consistently fluctuated between positive and negative, suggesting an unclear market direction. Typically, in a bull market, the funding rate tends to remain positive. However, recent data from Glassnode showed daily funding rates dropping to as low as -0.006%, equivalent to an annualized rate of -2%, signaling a bearish trend.
Historically, Bitcoin's market bottoms have been accompanied by prolonged negative funding rates, as seen in notable events such as the COVID-19 crash, the FTX collapse, and China’s mining ban in 2021. Yet, over the past two weeks, every time Bitcoin has attempted a rebound, traders have switched positions, leading to long liquidations during subsequent price declines. This pattern has prevented the establishment of sustained negative funding rates.
# Recent Price Actions
As of 1:36 PM New York time on the 10th, Bitcoin was trading at $78,723 on CoinMarketCap, down 4.64% from 24 hours earlier. Although Bitcoin had surged close to $84,000 ahead of the New York Stock Exchange's opening, it failed to maintain momentum, retreating once more. The cryptocurrency has been undergoing corrections since hitting a new all-time high of $109,114 on January 20.
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